Week 31 2023

AlbionDesign GmbH                                                      week 31/2023

Economically Ecological                               

 

€/$ 1.09891                       ↘:                                       API 2 Front month $110.00    ↗:

EUA DEC 23 €85.01          ↘:                                        EUA DEC 24 €89.46                  ↘:

 

If you speak a language derived from Latin, you are most likely on a beach somewhere. A sizeable chuck of Europe speaks such a language, so the market is on standby with small parcels swapping hands here and there. Maintenance keeps things quiet for those not on holidays, leaving lots of time to procrastinate or try and second guess where the market is going.

 

 admin@albiondesign.co for quotations

 Prices:

·                     Sunflower Husk Pellet - EU Production: mixed xyz

·                     Russian Sunflower Husk Pellet CIF Med flat xyz

·                     SBP Wood pellet CIF ARA  mixed on week 30 xyz               

·                     Wood pellet A1 FOB Baltic flat on week 30 xyz

·                     Certified PKS (dura) FOB Indonesia Q2 flat  xyz

·                     Spent olive wastes ex Works Spain slightly lower  xyz

·                     Baltpool Woodchips Lithuania  € xyz /MWh ↘: Latvia € xyz /MWh ↗: Estonia € xyz /MWh

Freight:

·                      Baltic Coaster – ARA  flat  on week 30 on 3kt xyz               

·                     Black Sea Coaster  on week 30 on 3kt  xyz                       

·                     Azov-Marmara  on week 30 on 3kt      xyz        

·                      Handys/Supras  flat on week       xyz                                                         

 

Overview:

·                     Some bearish indicators, some bullish indicators leave us larger flat .

 

Demand:

·                     Will En Niño prove a support for heating markets and their associated biomasses?

·                     On paper demand seems strong. Maintenance and CAPEX calculations are holding things back.

Into ARA on the densified biomass deduct $1+- for every additional 1kt as there is a freight saving.

 

Links and interesting reading:

·         https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/fall-2023-season-weather-forecast-el-nino-impact-united-states-canada-europe-fa/

·         https://biomassmagazine.com/articles/20251/drax-increases-pellet-capacity-considers-us-beccs-projects

·         https://www.montelnews.com/news/1513358/spanish-gas-consumption-falls-16-in-july

·         https://circabc.europa.eu/sd/a/2c8378ab-c686-449d-9dd1-65371ab30889/Oilseeds-dashboard_en.pdf

 

 

Numbers subject to change. These figures are indications and in no way a confirmation on tradable prices. For reference only.

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Week 32 2023

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Week 29 2023